sharexy

Sunday, September 15, 2013

Can you trust your eyes?

Can you trust your eyes.  Illusions that scientists don't understand.  https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=ZflIMBxyIak
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Quote of the Week: If you only care enough for  result, you will almost certainly attain it.  Shared by Inside Lending
INFO THAT HITS US WHERE WE LIVE... We all do care a lot about keeping the housing market on its steady path of recovery and last week saw more evidence of progress in that direction. An analytics and research firm that serves the industry reported home prices throughout the country were up 12.4% year-over-year in July, the 17th month in a row of annual home price growth. Another analytical company, specializing in property values, posted home prices up 10.2% year-over-year in August. They noted that the last time they saw double-digit annual home price growth was in mid-2006.
CONSUMERS SPENDING MORE AND SO ARE THE FEDS...This Friday, the important Retail Salesreport for August is forecast to be up, as consumer spending keeps helping the economy. But federal government spending still exceeds monies coming in, so the Federal Budgetshould show a deficit for August.
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The nation found a new city to call home to the most negative equity mortgages. Rockford, Ill., now holds the title to that dubious distinction, with the highest percentage of homes underwater.
It is easy to feel some sympathy for Rockford, but the tragedy is negative equity is a widespread plague. The Sun Sentinel also reports that South Florida is equally slammed. "Although prices are bouncing back, these underwater mortgages continue to haunt the local housing market and will for at least the next few years," the article states.
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When the U.S. agreed to inject vast sums of aid in exchange in September 2008, for a new class of stock—"senior preferred" shares—that paid a 10% dividend, the GSEs entered a period of ownership limbo. In such an instance, no meaningful reform can be accomplished according to then Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson.  --  Jacob Gaffney in HousingWire
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Homebuilder stocks rallied Friday as jobs data sparked concern that the Federal Reserve's timeline for tapering its bond-buying program might not be as crystal clear as initially expected. -- Christina Mylenski in HousingWire
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According to Friday’s report from the Bureau of Labor and Employment Statistics, only 74.8% of young adults are working — the lowest number in 12 months and far below normal levels. During the recession, between 73% and 74% of young adults were employed.
Consequently, the unemployment rate for young adults rose to 7.8% in August, representing the highest level since February.
For those young adults who are able to qualify for homeownership, they are often forced to handle a smaller mortgage.
"The focus of the industry now is hopefully on sustainable homeownership," said (Mark) Palim, who added that people want a mortgage they can actually afford — something many homeowners struggled with during the recession. "Someone who doesn’t have a job and has a lot of student debt shouldn’t be buying a home," he added. -- Megan Hopkins in HousingWire
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I have been hearing from talk radio that because of the busy schedule for the fall session of Congress, housing finance reform may not get much attention.  -- JP
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Towards the end of the year, lawmakers will also need to decide again on whether to extend a tax break for debt forgiven under short sales and other mortgage modifications. The Mortgage Forgiveness Debt Relief Act is set to expire on Dec. 31, though several bills have been introduced in the Senate to extend the provision for one or two years. The law, passed in 2007, was most recently extended as part of the last-minute deal to avert the so-called fiscal cliff at the beginning of the year.
Should Congress grant it, another extension "should be a positive for housing, as we believe there would be more foreclosures absent short sales and mortgage modifications," said Jaret Seiberg of Guggeheim Securities in a note to clients late last month. He added, however, that passage of another extension for the tax break is "far from a slam dunk."
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The U.S. federal government ran a budget deficit of approximately $750 billion in the first eleven months of the 2013 fiscal year—a reduction of more than $400 billion from a year earlier thanks in part to higher tax revenue, lower defense spending, fewer outlays for the Troubled Asset Relief Program and $82 billion in payments from the government-sponsored enterprises.

And back in 2012, the Treasury had made $5 billion in payments to the GSEs by August of fiscal 2012; however, this year, the Treasury is on the receiving end — having already taken in $82 billion in payments, mostly from Fannie Mae. Spending on unemployment benefits also declined by $22 billion, or 24%, as fewer Americans took in benefits, while expenditures tied to the Troubled Asset Relief Program – created to provide liquidity to the banks during the housing crisis – fell by $33 billion as the cost structure of the program was adjusted. -- Kerri Ann Panchuck in HousingWire
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Houston does not have a housing problem

Houston does not have a housing problem. In fact, the Houston area ranked No. 68 on a list of improving housing markets, with prices rising 13.9% since January 2011.

Boston plans for 30,000 new homes by 2020

The mayor of Boston released a plan to build 30,000 new homes in the city by 2020, using $16.5 billion in public and private investment dollars.

These were headlines in HousingWire on Sept. 9
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CoreLogic released data that shows approximately 2.5 million more residential properties returned to a state of positive equity during the second quarter, bringing the total number of homeowners across the country not underwater to 41.5 million.
CoreLogic data includes 49 million properties with a mortgage, which accounts for more than 85% of all U.S. mortgages.  --  Evan Nemeroff in Origination News.
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And finally, FHFA is going to take measures to lower the existing elevated conforming loan limits offered by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. They want to bring the maximum conforming loan amount back to the 2008 level of $417,000. The good news here again is it’s a motivation factor for your clients that might be sitting on the fence. Will it have a huge impact on the industry as a whole? We don’t think so. Jumbo non-agency money seems to be doing well right now and should be able to pick up the slack. In fact Jumbo rates are currently about the same or even better then conforming rates. We believe Jumbo rates will start to rise a bit soon based on this news.  Frank and Brian in National Real Estate Post.
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Headline in HousingWire

Mortgage application filings tumble 13.5%

Mortgage application filings dropped 13.5% from a week earlier during the survey period ending Sept. 6, the Mortgage Bankers Association reported Wednesday.
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People buying homes are citing future price increases as one of the "key factors" motivating them to buy. The most recent survey by the real-estate company Redfin found that almost one third of buyers are motivated by rising prices. CNBC in HousingWire
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You've got to see this "Battle of the Saxes"  http://matadornetwork.com/life/nyc-subway-sax-battle/
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Sunday, September 8, 2013

Beware the flood insurance....and a joke.

Fishing Jokes (Because, why not?)

I went fishing this morning but after a short time I ran out of worms.  Then I saw a cottonmouth snake with a frog in its mouth.  In case you didn't know, frogs are good bass bait.

Knowing the frog couldn't bite me with the frog in its mouth; I grabbed it right behind it's head, gingerly stole the frog and put it in my bait bucket.  Now the dilemma was how to release the snake without getting bit.

So, I grabbed my bottle of Jack Daniels (which I always have on me) and poured a little into it's mouth... Okay a lot of whiskey. It's eyes rolled back, it let out a little snake burp and it went limp.

I released the snake into the lake without incident and carried on fishing, using the frog.  Not long after I felt a nudge on my foot.

It was that darn snake... with two more frogs.

Shared by Josh Foster at BNP Media
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Because this issue is so important, I am posting the whole thing here.  I am also tweeting it.  Please, tell your buyers about this government intervention.

National Real Estate Post - Biggert Waters Flood Act Disaster


Posted: 03 Sep 2013 11:04 PM PDT
FEMA in conjunction with the Biggert Waters Flood Act is causing a whole new disaster with the victims of hurricane Sandy by forcing many people into unaffordable home improvements or massive flood insurance premiums.


Years ago President Ronald Reagan once aptly said the 8 scariest words in the English language; “We’re from the Government, we’re here to help.” We laugh because all good comedy is laced with hard truths that are simply easier to laugh at than cry. This was the case yesterday when I woke up to write the script for The National Real Estate Post, daily video.
Usually we will look at stories that we’ve been considering that have adequately fermented prior to putting the idea to Show. Today was different. As I scrolled through my daily feeds I saw an article at nbcnews.com that had me jump out of my seat and reflect on Reagan’s words in the same fashion a 4th grader reflects on giving his lunch money away over threat of a serious ass kicking. So here we are, onto today’s show.
The articles headline was “$20,000 for flood insurance? Sandy survivors facing tough rebuilding choices.” OK, so who’s not gonna bite on that title! After all, $20,000 a year is nearly $2,000 per month; or about 300 times what any reasonable policy should cost. Yet here we are. So as the Talking Heads once said “How did we get here?!”
Here’s how. Folks within FEMA and the Federal Government have been looking at the growing costs of fulfilling flood policies with episodes like Katrina, Sandy, and Rita (remember Rita was like Katrina’s bitchy little sister that ravaged the same area just a few months after Katrina.) In short, it’s widely believed that our costs on flood policies are outpacing the money being brought in from payment on said flood policies. When you add that with the, also, wide belief that erratic storm seasons are going to become less erratic and more the norm, it left Washington and FEMA scrambling on how to make up the projected shortfalls on FEMA’s reserves.
Enter the Biggert Waters Flood Insurance Reform Act of 2012. Oh, this was just put into action “Now;” at the speed of Government. Anyways what this act does is outline a way for the Government to Replenish their flood insurance funds by rezoning flood regions throughout the United States. As you can imagine, and rightfully so, areas around water, and along coasts, stood to suffer the most with higher policies. And the truth is, that should probably be the case. Think about it, if you stand a higher chance of flooding than you should pay more money. Duh!!!!
However, the amount of money that these guys are paying is beyond anything that anyone would consider reasonable. For example, and as outlined by the show that you just watched, some of these policies are upwards of $20,000 per year. So how does that happen? Like this.
Because of the rezoning, areas that are deemed higher risk are subject to new and improved building regulations. If it’s deemed that you might flood than your house is going to need to be elevated. And, your elevation is going outlined by the new and improved flood map. Here’s the problem.
Listen Close. Some of these people that were devastated by Sandy were paying on policies, earnestly paying on policies, based on the previous standards. So when their policies hit triple cherries after the Storm, they got paid. The problem is, the payment was sufficient to allow them to rebuild their old homes. The bigger problem is, new flood map zoning say’s they need to rebuild a better home to meet the new and improved standards.
Of course the new and improved standards cost more money. New and improved always costs more money. The issue these Sandy Survivors have is they don’t necessarily have the money to make the improvements to get reasonable policies. Some of these FEMA improvements could cost Sandy Survivors upwards of $100,000. As we know, most Americans don’t have that type of Jack laying around. So what do you do?
The only other option with the new FEMA flood map is to pay the higher policy for a home that is not built up to new specifications. Let’s face it, if you don’t have the money for the improvements, this is the next logical option. Enter problem number two.
FEMA’s got this thing so screwed up that the amount of money needed for improvements is unreasonable. So if you default to the next logical option, the payments on a substandard policy might even be more outrageous. Think about it, a $20,000 annual policy? The payment on the insurance would be higher than what most payments on the actual house would be! And this is the new and improved option the Government has come up with as a viable solution.
So you might be asking yourself, you should pay more money for higher risk homes. Agreed. But now ask yourself, what’s the good of making payment so high and improvement so prohibitively demanding that neither are realistic. What the hell is the good? Can we do better? In a time when Washington all but banters around giving homes away to garner support, what the fuck is the problem with giving survivors of the Sandy catastrophe an honest chance of fighting back and keeping their homes.
These terms are unreasonable and it’s truly unbelievable that NOBODY with any authority has not come out and said, as my 14 year old kid my text “WTF,” because if ever strong and offensive language was needed in our industry, this might be the case.
So help from the government, I might just side with President Reagan and conclude that Federal Help might be worse than the Hurt they


"The greater danger for most of us lies not in setting our aim too high and falling short: but in setting our aim too low, and achieving our mark." Michelangelo
This quote adorns the wall at Mojave, the home of Virgin Galactic. Rest assured we are setting our aim very high indeed!
By . Founder of Virgin Group
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New estimates derived from the Census Bureau's Current Population Survey by Sentier Research indicate that the real (inflation-adjusted) median annual household income in America has fallen by 4.4 percent during the "recovery," after having fallen by 1.8 during the recession. -- Shared by Jeffery H. Anderson
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Second-quarter data from the National Credit Union Administration shows federally insured credit unions experienced brisk loan growth, reporting their highest net worth since 2008 and record membership levels in the second quarter.
The delinquency ratio and net charge-offs are significantly lower than they were a year ago, which is good news for the credit union industry. “The delinquency ratio for credit unions is still very, very low,” said Gentile, who noted that people are finally able to pay their bills. “That’s a very good sign for the economy overall.” -- Megan Hopkins in HousingWire
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“Homeowners who already have ample equity are quickly building on that equity, while the 8.3 million homeowners on the fence with little or no equity are on track to regain enough equity to sell before 2015 if home prices continue to increase at the rate of 1.33% per month that they have since bottoming out in March 2012,” said Blomquist. -- Megan Hopkins at HousingWire
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Mortgage applications finally inched higher after a couple weeks of declines, increasing 1.3% in the latest Mortgage Bankers Association survey.
The average contract interest rate for a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage with a conforming loan limit fell to 4.73% from 4.80%.
Meanwhile, the 30-year, FRM jumbo dipped to 4.71% from 4.78% last week.
(Do you see that jumbo loans now have lower interest rates than regular MI?)
The average 30-year, FRM backed by the FHA also decreased to 4.48% from 4.52% a week ago.
Additionally, the 15-year, FRM slipped to 3.75% from 3.84%, and the 5/1 ARM fell to 3.49% from 3.50% last week. -- Brena Swanson at HousingWire
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The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s top supervision and enforcement officer, Steven Antonakes, will also serve as the CFPB’s second-in-command.
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“Home prices continue to climb across the nation in July with markets hit hardest during the downturn leading the way,” said Anand Nallathambi, president and chief executive of CoreLogic.
Other states with the highest price increases since July 2012 are: Arizona (up 17%), Wyoming (16%), and Oregon (15%). -- Brian Collins at Orignation News
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Construction spending in the U.S. grew in July to its highest level in four years, due to gains in residential real estate, Bloomberg News reports.
Outlays climbed 0.6% to a $900.8 billion annual rate, the most since June 2009, after being little changed in June, the Commerce Department reported today in Washington.
“We’re going to continue to post growth,” Mike Englund, chief economist at Action Economics LLC in Boulder, Colorado, said before the report. “It’s growing a little faster than the broader economy, obviously getting help from residential construction.”
Source: Bloomberg
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The government is throwing a lifeline to borrowers who lost their homes due to the recession, in an attempt to widen the pool of potential borrowers.
Per The Wall Street Journal:
A recent rule change lets certain borrowers who have gone through a foreclosure, bankruptcy or other adverse event—but who have repaired their credit—become eligible to receive a new mortgage backed by the Federal Housing Administration after waiting as little as one year. Previously, they had to wait at least three years before they could qualify for a new government-backed loan.
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The city council in North Las Vegas rejected a plan proposed by Mortgage Resolution Partners to utilize the power of eminent domain to refinance underwater mortgages. The plan was struck down in a five-to-zero vote. -- HousingWire
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While other states start to recover, homeowners in Ohio and other Midwestern states are struggling to regain equity in their houses, with more than 30% of mortgaged homeowners in Ohio, Michigan and Illinois owing considerably more than their homes are worth. Per The Columbus Dispatch:
In Ohio, 31% of homeowners with loans owe at least 125% more than their estimated home value, RealtyTrac said. In central Ohio, the figure is 27 percent.
In all, RealtyTrac estimates that 10.7 million homeowners, or 23% of those with mortgages, are “deeply underwater,” down from 11.3 million in May and 12.5 million last September. -- HousingWire
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 With Syria in the mix, housing is no longer going to capture lawmakers’ attention in the months of September and October. And what an upset that is, considering the first Treasury white paper on GSE reform came out in 2011, three years ago in February.
Analysts with Compass Point Research & Trading believe the Syria debate will cause lawmakers to punt on the federal budget and the debt ceiling debate.
"We do not believe that the federal government will shutdown, or that the debt ceiling will be breached, but note that the Congressional consideration of military action in Syria increases the likelihood that lawmakers push the impending budget battles to the end of 2013," Compass Point analysts noted. -- Kerri Anne Panchuck in HousingWire
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Shared by Virgil Cowen

 

Wednesday, August 28, 2013

Who wants to live on Three Bears Loop?


Who wants to live on Three Bears Loop and Rt. 66?
Just think how fun this would be for real estate agents to share very unique streets where they have homes for sale! Even just to start talking about interesting street names...

Shared by Carra Riley.
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Most buyers only think of two things when shopping for a home, the loan and the location.  But there are other things your buyers need to consider.  Buying a home is expensive.  They need to factor in property taxes, maintenance, repairs and renovations.  When your client is purchasing a home help them, especially if they are first time buyers, factor in the other costs of owning the home.
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Nat'l Real Estate Post:
Banks are being forced to limit home buyer with lower LTV ratios to qualify for homes and with the rising interest rates and tight credit, buyers are in short supply.

However, builder sentiment and mortgage applications for August are looking good.
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"Be yourself; everyone else is already taken."  Oscar Wild
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Analysts with Fitch Ratings expect U.S. nonresidential construction activity to pick up more speed heading into 2014, the ratings giant said Monday.
More banks are lending in the space and commercial mortgage-backed securities issuance is on the rise, said Robert Rulla, a director with Fitch.
"After a slow start, Fitch is projecting private non-residential construction will grow 2% in 2013 and 5% in 2014,” Rulla projected. -- HousingWire
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“In terms of annual rates of change, San Francisco lost its leadership position with Las Vegas showing the highest post-recession gain of 24.9%,” said David Blitzer, chairman of the index committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices.
According to Sanders, this is an indication that speculators are starting to pull out of the West Coast cities and move into markets that have yet to reach such high home prices. "It has to be investors driving this up," he said. "This is an unusual switch."
When looking further at how far Atlanta, the monthly leader, has come, it’s helpful to look at its numbers three years ago. Atlanta was down 0.52% three years ago and is now up 3.40%. This compares to San Francisco, which was up 21.37% back in 2010, and is now up only 2.73%.
We know its not residential mortgages that are driving the recovery, said Sanders, it’s really more about where investors are re-parking their money. -- Megan Hopkins in HousingWire
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Housing recovery occurs in stages.  We are in the 3rd stage.  This is when the recovery starts to slow.  The question is can we reach the 4th stage where building and buying really take off?

For the month of July, Trulia concluded that the housing market is now 64% back to normal, which is the highest level on record since the recession.-- Keri Anne Panchuck in HousingWire
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The Conference Board, an industry group, said its index of consumer attitudes rose to 81.5 from 80.3 in July, beating economists' expectations for 79.0.
The expectations index rose to 88.7 from an upwardly revised 86. Consumers, however, were less optimistic about their current standing, with the present situation index slipping to 70.7 from July's more than five-year high of 73.6. -- HousingWire
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The Compassionate Samurai By Brian Klemmer:  Trust but verify.  Learn to trust others on our team.  Don't try to control everything.  You will get more business.
Shared by Rick Floyd
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Nat'l Real Estate Post:
Mortgage rates have caused home values to be revised down.  And if we meet another rate popping bubble, rates will be to blame.  The by product of higher rates is the higher payments.  Have you heard of the Biggert-Water reform act of 2012, HR 4348?  It will hit this October.  It is to make sure flood insurance coffers are stable.  FEMA says it has lost billions due to events like Katrina and Sandy, but Garret Graves of the Coastal Protection and Restoration Authority says FEMA, since 1978, has taken in $65.3 Billion in premiums, but has only paid out $56.4 billion to policy holders.  So FEMA will rezone the flood zone maps in order to refill the coffers.  This will lead to a 20% increase in flood insurance.  There will be additional HUD and mortgage insurance hikes which will be followed by private MI hikes which will be followed by the pending G Fee hike, and even your city or county reassessing your property value.  Hazard insurance is up, too.  If we have another round of foreclosures, look to HR 4348 as the cause.
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Saturday, August 24, 2013

Succeed in getting that listing, account or committment to build your businesss.

I am including this blog to encourage you to succeed in getting your listing, account or commitment to build your business. It is excellent.
http://chasingexcellenceblog.com/2013/08/20/getting-an-edge-over-the-competition/
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Check out this version of the The Star Spangled Banner.  It's the best I've ever heard
http://youtu.be/c8C7i9kdEf8
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Low interest rates have not created a stronger housing recovery because the government's carrot-and-stick approach to U.S. banks has squelched their ability to boost mortgage lending, according to Washington Post columnist Robert Samuelson.
Housing's uptick has been muted because pent-up demand is being squelched, he maintained. As proof, he cited estimates that construction of new units remains less than 1 million on an annual basis, while Moody's Analytics concluded the underlying demand is 1.7 million units.
Guy Cecala, publisher of Inside Mortgage Finance, said, "Every time a lender is publicly sued or flogged makes it less likely they'll loosen their standards."
Last month, groundbreaking for single-family homes, the largest segment of the market, declined 2.2 percent to a 591,000-unit pace, the lowest level since last November, Reuters reported. However, starts for multi-family homes jumped 26 percent to a 305,000-unit rate, reversing the prior month's decline. -- John Morgan in Money News
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'The barriers are not erected which can say to aspiring talents and industry, "Thus far and no farther".'  Ludwig von Beethovan, German composer
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All good ideas are terrible
Until people realize they are obvious.
If you're not willing to live through the terrible stage, you'll never get to the obvious part. -- Seth Godin
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(Scott) Anderson’s expects the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage will be around 4.7% at year end—about where it is now. And he is forecasting the 30-year rate will be around 5.15% by yearend 2014.
Such a gradual rise in rates is “not enough to derail the momentum” in the housing market, Anderson said. If mortgage rates go up too quickly, he noted it could dampen demand for housing. Between rising rates and prices, housing affordability has already been reduced by 20%.
Higher rates might also open the door for the banks to relax their lending standards. --Brian Collins in HousingWire
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Nat'l Real Estate Post:
Appraisors under attack.  http://www.fhba.com/docs/InterimFinalRuleAppraiserIndependenceSummary.pdf
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Shared by Maurizio S and originally shared by Tenzing Sherpa.
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"Builders are seeing more motivated buyers walk through their doors than they have in quite some time," said NAHB chairman Rick Judson, a home builder from Charlotte, NC.  "What's more, firming home prices and thinning inventories of homes for sale are contributing to an increased sense of urgency among those who are in the market."  Sonja Bullard in Angel Oak Weekly
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Nat'l Real Estate Post:
Real estate is more complex after the housing bust.  More than ever there is a place for real estate agents.  They have knowlege of the local market.  Info aggregators like Zillow don't live there.  Agents know handymen and other vendors who can help solve problems.  Agents also act like psychologists and negotiators during the housing search.  Realtors live their job. They are there at 8 o'clock in the evening  or on a Sunday morning when your waterheater goes out.
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In July, housing sales dropped from 455,000 in June to 394,000, seasonally adjusted. That is a 13.4% drop.  This is due to the investors who bought multiple homes and then the rent profits didn't pan out.  The investors are walking away from or dumping their investments.  This is compounded by 50% of the hardship mortgage modifications which have gone back into foreclosure.  The rise in interest rates haven't helped.  However, with the rise in interest rates, the banks are beginning to loosen their credit requirements.  The fly in the ointment it that the government has put onerous regulations on the banks in the form of Frank-Dodd, Basel I,II and III.  The CFPB has put even more on the banks which has come from Richard Cordray.  I think the housing industry is in for a bit of a  rough patch.  Do everything possible for your clients.  They need your help.
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Hot off the press, I have the updates for the new version of Desktop Underwritingcoming the weekend of November 16, 2013.
In a nutshell, FNMA is making the switch to Qualified Mortgages a little earlier than the January 10, 2014 timeframe laid forth by the CFPB. The announcement includes the following:
1. Max ltv/cltv will drop back to 95
2. Max ratio will be 43 (BACK END Debt to Income)
3. Interest Only will no longer be an option
4. Max loan term will be 30 years
Shared by Dave Cooper
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Sunday, August 18, 2013

The Housing and the Stock Market are on sale. Buy something.

We estimate that national home prices are 5% undervalued in the third quarter of 2013. During last decade’s housing bubble, prices were as high as 39% overvalued in 2006 Q1, then after the crash fell to 15% undervalued in 2011 Q4. One quarter ago prices looked 7% undervalued; one year ago prices looked 14% undervalued, Trulia reported.
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"Success occurs when opportunity meets preparation".--
Shared by Commercial Lending
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Check out this graphic for demonstrating the cost of waiting to buy a home.
https://plus.google.com/111789254531478161642/posts/HsaSwZmjQvj
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"Here's the scoop on market corrections:

5% corrections happen every 49 days - we're 39 days removed from one
10% corrections happen every 161 days - we're 461 days removed from one
20% corrections happen every 635 days - we're 1,110 days removed from one

We're about 3.5% off the recent record highs right now..."

From Wes Moss on Money Matters Sunday morning on WSB.

We are overdue for a correction.  Most of the time we buy more of something when it is on sale.  But with the stock market we pull our hair, wring our hands and jump out of windows when stocks go on sale.  Therefore, rejoice when the market corrects because then you can buy more of whatever it is you have been wanting.
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REITs suffering their worst collapse since the credit crisis.
These companies own shopping malls, apartment complexes, office buildings and other forms of commercial real estate. The value of those properties — and the rental cash flow streams they throw off — was wildly inflated by the record-low rates engineered by the Fed. -- Martin Weiss in Money and Markets
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Homebuilding activity levels depend greatly on employment growth.
Even though mortgage rates are rising, homebuilders and buyers are hopeful this will be offset by a stronger job market — more homes will sell with a better employment status because it leads to both builder and homeowner confidence, according to Nationwide's chief economist.
Multifamily also will continue to trend upward given the fact that underwriting standards are hindering buyers from being able to afford a mortgage, Berson suggested.
Nonetheless, when putting together the components of existing and new home sales, the numbers reflect a continued market uptick, meaning homebuilders are confident in the future of the housing market. -- Christina Mylinski for HousingWire
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Housing starts soared in the month of July, rising 5.9% from June levels and jumping 20.9% from last year, government data shows.
Strength in the multifamily sector caused the sharp increase with single-family starts actually edging down a bit.
Starts on privately owned homes reached a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 896,000 in July, up from 846,000 in June and a large jump from 741,000 a year ago, the U.S. Census Bureau and Department of Housing and Urban Development reported Friday.
Single-family housing starts alone fell 2.2% from June to July, reaching a rate of 591,000 units last month – below June’s revised estimate of 604,000 single-family starts.
Multifamily is where analysts found great strength.

"The boost in starts was led by a monthly 26% jump in the volatile multifamily component after a 24.8% fall in June," Econoday analysts noted. -- Keri Anne Panchuck in HousingWire.
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Jill Pierce is Team Leader for RealEstateAuctions.com in Georgia.
 



Friday, August 16, 2013


National home values rose to $161,100 as of the end of the second quarter – up 5.8 percent year-over-year and 2.4 percent from the first quarter. That’s the largest annual gain since August 2006 and biggest quarterly gain since the fourth quarter of 2005. -- Sonja Bullard in Angel Oak Weekly
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Home prices increased in June on a monthly basis for the 16th consecutive month, according to the latest figures from CoreLogic. -- Evan Nemeroff in Origination News
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Nat'l Real Estate Post:
The Gary, Indiana Housing Authority is being taken over by HUD.  It is a mess and has been for 10 yrs.  It will now be run from Detroit's office.  Wonder how this will turn out!

Fannie Mae is selling $2 billion in mortgage backed securities.  (Here we go again.)

NAR says 68% of people say it is a good time to buy a house.
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Twenty cities and counties which are facing bankruptcy:
Compton, CA
East Greenbush, NY
Fresno, CA
Gulf County, FL
Harrisburg, PA
Irving, NJ
Jefferson County, AL
Menesah, WI
Newburg, NY
Oakland, CA
Philadelphia School District, PA
Pontiac, MI
Providence, RI
Riverdale, IL
Salem, NJ
Stratford County, NH
Taylor, MI
Vadnais Heights, MN
Wenatachee, WA
Woonsocket, RI
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Nat'l Real Estate Post:
Freddie Mac says it will sue Richmond, CA if it adopts eminent domain to take over homes where the home is underwater because this would put in more risk.  The eminent domain move is suppose to solve the foreclosure problem.  Freddie disagrees.
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https://www.helpscout.net/blog/psychology-of-color/
Shared by Guy Kawasaki
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Did you know that it only takes 20 hrs of practice to become decent at a skill?  I'm trying my hand at drawing.  I've only spent 4 hrs so far and it is working.  With this kind of success, I think I will try many other things.
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Shared by Carra Riley
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It doesn't look good for home builder share prices in the near-term. Recent action in the iShares Dow Jones US Home Construction (ITB) fund indicates weakness in the sector and these stocks are starting to break down.  HousingWire
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Private mortgages are back:
"Delinquencies are down, and the companies have recapitalized," said Bose George, an analyst at Keefe Bruyette & Woods. "At the same time, FHA is reducing its role in the market, so this has given them significant growth opportunities. ... The companies have reversed their position and are starting to show modest profitability." - Diana Oleck for CNBC
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Nat'l Real Estate Post:
FHA is becoming more expensive for first time buyers than conventional buyers.  MGIC is now requiring at least a 620 credit score for loans.  With faster turn around times.  (Nice!)
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QUOTE OF THE WEEK..."The best way out is always through."--Robert Frost, American poet
shared by Bill Bazzel
A leading provider of real estate data and analytics recorded home prices up 1.9% in June, gaining for the 16th month in a row.For the year, they had home prices increasing 11.9%, trending at the fastest upward pace since 1977. Finally, it was reported that Fannie Mae posted a $10.1 billion profit in Q2, almost double the Q2 profit of a year ago. They will now pay a $10.2 billion dividend to the Treasury, which owns $117.1 billion of the company's senior preferred stock. This is quite a turnaround for Fannie Mae from the dark days of 2008.
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Excluding distressed sales, home prices increased on a year-over-year basis by 11.6 percent in May 2013 compared to May 2012. On a month-over-month basis, excluding distressed sales, home prices increased 2.3 percent in May 2013 compared to April 2013. Distressed sales include short sales and real estate owned (REO) transactions.

The CoreLogic Pending HPI indicates that June 2013 home prices, including distressed sales, are expected to rise by 13.2 percent on a year-over-year basis from June 2012 and rise by 2.9 percent on a month-over-month basis from May 2013. - Shared by Sonja Bullard in Angel Oak Weekly

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Nat'l Real Estate Post:
Housing has officially hit the bottom. 
AZ, CA, FL, MI and NV are no longer the top ten worst foreclosure states!
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Shared by Blake Sippert
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The efforts of the Chinese government to curb the domestic property market are causing buyers to look at real estate outside of the country, Juwai.com found.
Juwai is an internet site that links Chinese high-net worth individuals with real estate agents in foreign countries.
A recent survey of 541 Chinese citizens in the property market, found that 73% of respondents said properties in other countries provide either a better value or more affordable prices than real estate in China.
Additionally, 37% said they would buy overseas because it is a better value proposition than in China, and 37% said they would buy overseas because it is a much lower price than China.
"The latest data out of China, coupled with the consumer survey from Juwai.com, help show why wealthy Chinese are looking at property overseas. They are educated, affluent, mobile and--most of all--motivated,” Andrew Taylor, Co-CEO of Juwai.com, said. -- HousingWire
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Builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes rose three points to an August index score of 59, according to the latest National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index.
This is the fourth consecutive monthly gain, bringing the index to its highest level in nearly eight years, the association noted. Any number over 50 suggests the majority of builders view conditions in a particular segment of the market as "good".  -- Brenda Swanson in HousingWire
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Thursday, August 8, 2013

Nat'l Real Estate Post:
HUD is beginning to force integration by forcing the lenders to only lend in ways which will put minorities in non-minority areas. 
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Trulia (TRLA) Chief Economist Jed Kolko noted that, despite a slow quarter for construction activity, residential construction employment continues to outpace employment overall. Year-over-year, residential construction is up 4.5% — ahead of overall national employment growth of 1.7% — an indicator that housing is putting more jobs on the market.

(Lindsey)Piegza added that it will likely be 5-6 years before those recent college grads are buying a house. "It's really important to recognize that the game has changed now," she said. Piegza believes that in the short term, this will add pressure on the housing market. However, she noted that in the long run, it will allow for a much more sustainable housing sector because we are putting people who can afford homes into homes instead of those who would be struggling to make payments. -- Megan Hopkins at HousingWire
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The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau has sued a Salt Lake City-based mortgage lender for allegedly violating the loan officer compensation rule by paying bonuses to LOs that charge consumers higher interest rates. -- Brian Collins in Origination News
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An Indian man carries a swarm of colourful plastic balls on his bicycle
An Indian man carries a swarm of colourful plastic balls on his bicycle in the northern Indian city of Lucknow in February 2006. (Pawan Kumar/Reuters) -- Shared by Guy Kawasaki
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Nat'l Real Estate Post:
Cities and counties are using eminent domain to take homes where the owners are in default on their mortgage payments.  The municipalities are confiscating the homes, paying them off and sometimes allowing the owners to stay in the homes.  However, most of the time the municipalities are razing the homes.  Eminent domain was set up to allow cities and counties to take property in order put in roads or utilities, something that would benefit the community.  Now it is being used when home owners simply default on loans. 
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Coach Wooden says, "Self control is the ability to discipline ourselves and keep our emotions under control.  To become our best, good judgement and common sense are essential."  Shared by Rick Floyd
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Chris Harper originally shared and was repeated by James Harrison.
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More than 100 real estate and economic experts predict home values will end 2013 up 6.7 percent from the end of 2012, as the housing market recovery continues to widen and accelerate, according to the latest Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey. A majority of the panel also said that while rising mortgage rates don’t pose a threat if they stay within the 4 to 5 percent range, they could derail the recovery if they reach 6 percent or higher.
For full survey results and graphics, please visit Zillow Real Estate Research or www.pulsenomics.com.
-- Corey Hopkins in HousingWire
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Atlanta home prices were up 19.2 percent in the first quarter, compared with the first quarter of 2012.

The index also projects Atlanta home prices will be up 4.9 percent in the first quarter of 2014, when compared with the first quarter of 2013. -- Sonja Bullard in Angel Oak Weekly

I have found no greater satisfaction than achieving success through honest dealing and strict adherence to the view that, for you to gain, those you deal with should gain as well.
Alan Greenspan
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The median existing single-family home priced rose in 87% of measured markets, as 142 out of 163 metropolitan statistical areas posted gains based on closings in the second quarter versus the second quarter of 2012.

Total existing-home sales were at the highest pace since the second quarter of 2007, when they hit 5.23 million.

“There continue to be more buyers than sellers, and that is placing pressure on home prices, with multiple bids common in some areas of the country,” he said. “Higher interest rates are now causing sales to level out, but the tight supply conditions look to be with us for the balance of the year in most of the country. Areas with tighter supplies generally are seeing the strongest price growth, including markets such as Sacramento, Atlanta, Las Vegas, Naples, San Francisco and Los Angeles.” Lawrence Yun -- Megan Hopkins in HousingWire
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