sharexy

Saturday, September 28, 2013

Lovely architecture.

Vienna shared by Edith Kulka
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NAR said the median price of a home was $212,100 in August, up 14.7% from the year-earlier level, the largest growth since October 2005, as pricier homes saw large annual sales growth. Inventories rose 0.4% to 2.25 million homes available for sale, representing a 4.9-month supply at current sales rates.
Looking forward, rates that continue to rise will eventually pull back home purchases, NAR added.
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Koss noted that existing-home sales are unlikely to see an impact from the no-taper decision, with factors such as seasonality and a lack of first-time homebuyers playing into the upcoming numbers. “There’s not that great groundswell of first-time buyers coming in," said  Brian Koss, executive vice president at Mortgage Network.  -- Megan Hopkins in HousingWire
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According to the experts, interest rates will be at 5% next year adding that much more to a new home buyer's mortgage payment.
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Gertrude Muck-Erhardt shared Stratosphere Tower in Las Vegas
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Shared by Kathy Morlock
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Auction.com is facilitating the closing of 20 commercial assets in 11 states for the week ending Sept. 6, the company said in a press release.
The sales had a combined total value of more than $65 million. Among the highlights was a 90,804-square-foot retail asset in Chino, Calif. Mountain Village Plaza, which was listed by Rockwood Real Estate Advisors. -- In HousingWire
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Too big to fail will end only when regulators properly implement the financial-reform measure. Title I of the law authorizes the Fed to force financial companies to change their activities — including their scale and scope — when it is determined that the institutions couldn't be resolved in an orderly fashion through the standard bankruptcy process.

The FDIC procedure is designed to impose losses on creditors of bank holding companies while protecting creditors to operating subsidiaries. As a consequence, private lending to a holding company should carry a premium interest rate relative to loans to an operating subsidiary, which involves less risk. This approach will work only if the Fed — and, again, the Board of Governors in particular — requires banks to have enough equity and long-term debt issued by the holding company to absorb potential losses. So far, the signs from the Fed about their thinking on this issue haven't been encouraging.  --  Simon Johnson in Money News
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Former Abbey in Eichstätt, Bavaria

Shared by Werner Polwein
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Personal income increased $57.2 billion, or 0.4 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI)

increased $56.2 billion, or 0.5 percent, in August, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $34.5 billion, or 0.3 percent. In July, personal

income increased $21.2 billion, or 0.2 percent, DPI increased $32.7 billion, or 0.3 percent, and

PCE increased $18.3 billion, or 0.2 percent, based on revised estimates.  -- From the Bureau of Economic Analysis
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Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property

located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 2.5 percent in the second quarter of 2013

(that is, from the first quarter to the second quarter), according to the "third" estimate released by the

Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter, real GDP increased 1.1 percent.
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Thursday, September 19, 2013

Who lives at the intersection of Charles and Manson?

 shared by George Takei
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American incomes down 8.3% since 2007.  In 2007 the median income was $56,080, in 2012 it was $51,017.  For the record, there is one demographic trend to note in these numbers. Even if the economy were going gangbusters, the aging of the baby boom generation would be a weight on US income levels. Generally speaking older people have lower income levels, which can drag down overall median income. The number of households in which the head of the household was 65 or older rose by roughly 1.1 million in 2012, a 4% increase over the prior year.  New numbers on American earnings add an important element to the current focus on how the country and the financial system are faring five years after the failure of Lehman Brothers sent the US financial system and the economy into a tailspin. (It also just happens to be the second anniversary of the start of the protests that became the Occupy Wall Street movement.) The data show many American families still haven’t pulled out of it. -- Shared by Ritchie King in Quartz and LinkedIn.
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You probably won’t be receiving a utility bill from Google anytime soon, but the search giant is slowly but surely morphing into a literal power broker. Yesterday (Sept. 17), for instance, Google announced that it would buy all the electricity generated by the 240-megawatt Happy Hereford wind farm to be built near Amarillo, Texas.  But the nation’s utility executives probably are not feeling lucky these days. They are already fretting about losing revenue as a growing number of homeowners install solar panels to power their abodes with free sunshine. With the Happy Hereford wind farm, which is expected to go online in late 2014, Google will have power-purchase agreements for more than 570 megawatts of wind energy. It has also invested directly in renewable energy projects, such as the $168 million it put into the 370-megawatt Ivanpah solar thermal power plant nearing completion in the southern California desert. These are still small amounts, but it may be only a matter of time before Google becomes a force in the power markets, whether it intends to or not.  (http://qz.com/125407)  Shared by Todd Woody in LinkedIn
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Now we know at least one official associated with the city of San Francisco would like the larger municipality to take on eminent domain as a solution to help underwater borrowers, in the same way that Richmond, Calif., has been pursuing that strategy.
"Until these lawsuits are resolved, homeowners may not know who to pay or the amount they need to pay off their mortgage. Additionally, any purported extinguishment of an original mortgage obtained through the eminent domain process may cause title insurance to be unavailable in subsequent transactions, or, at a minimum, result in exclusions from title insurance coverage. Title insurance protects real property owners and mortgage lenders against losses from possible defects in the title. In addition, rulings on eminent domain challenges in one jurisdiction will likely create a ripple effect impacting the legality of this type of eminent domain in all jurisdictions.”
So if it was a mystery Wednesday as to why title insurers took a tumble on the New York Stock Exchange, perhaps the above stated fears were the underlying cause.
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Foreclosure starts continue to yo-yo after falling from 72,700 in May to 57,300 in June, data from RealtyTrac revealed. From June to July, foreclosure starts have inched back up to 60,600.
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Remember Talk Like A Pirate Day is Sept 19
 Shared by George Takei
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A rapid decline in foreclosures sales and new foreclosure filings have helped to reduce the impact of distressed property sales on overall home prices, FNC said.
Foreclosure sales accounted for 12.2% of total home sales, down from 17.3% in July 2012. -- Brad Finkelstein in Origination News.
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Are the numbers of first-time buyers shrinking, victimized by cash-bearing investors, credit-tight lenders mounting mortgage interest rates and soaring home prices? Are they “increasingly getting left behind in the real-estate recovery” as the Journal reported n July?
Well, not exactly, argue two economists from the Atlanta Federal Reserve. Reports based on surveys of Realtors to the contrary, first timers are doing just well as ever, thank you very much. “We do not share the concern about weakness in housing demand going forward because we are not convinced that the data indicates a material decline in first-time buyer participation,” concluded researchers Jessica Dill and Ellyn Terry. -- Shared by Steve Cook in Real Estate Economy Watch.
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Check the most and least lucrative careers here http://n.pr/17ATa42. -- Shared by Guy Kawasaki
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This will be good news to the smaller mortgage lender, since it now has room to expand its share in the market. According to analyst Brian Klock at financial services firm Keefe, Bruyette & Woods lending trends now favor the small banks over the large. Lending overall is up more than 3% quarter-to-date (QTD). -- Shared by Jared Gaffney in REwired
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A federal district judge shut the door on Wells Fargo's (WFC) attempt to prevent the rollout of a controversial eminent domain rescue plan for underwater borrowers in Richmond, Calif.
U.S. District Court Judge Charles Breyer dismissed the bank's push for an injunction without prejudice, claiming the case was not ripe, or legally ready for court, since it rested on future events that have yet to occur. -- Shared by Megan Hopkins in HousingWire
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Mortgage applications shifted gears, increasing 11.2% from a week earlier, the Mortgage Bankers Association said this week.
Meanwhile, the refinance index grew 18% from the prior week, while the purchase index rose 3%.
As a whole, the refinance share of mortgage activity inched back up to 61% of total applications, up from 57% a week earlier. -- Brena Swanson in HousingWire
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Sunday, September 15, 2013

Can you trust your eyes?

Can you trust your eyes.  Illusions that scientists don't understand.  https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=ZflIMBxyIak
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Quote of the Week: If you only care enough for  result, you will almost certainly attain it.  Shared by Inside Lending
INFO THAT HITS US WHERE WE LIVE... We all do care a lot about keeping the housing market on its steady path of recovery and last week saw more evidence of progress in that direction. An analytics and research firm that serves the industry reported home prices throughout the country were up 12.4% year-over-year in July, the 17th month in a row of annual home price growth. Another analytical company, specializing in property values, posted home prices up 10.2% year-over-year in August. They noted that the last time they saw double-digit annual home price growth was in mid-2006.
CONSUMERS SPENDING MORE AND SO ARE THE FEDS...This Friday, the important Retail Salesreport for August is forecast to be up, as consumer spending keeps helping the economy. But federal government spending still exceeds monies coming in, so the Federal Budgetshould show a deficit for August.
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The nation found a new city to call home to the most negative equity mortgages. Rockford, Ill., now holds the title to that dubious distinction, with the highest percentage of homes underwater.
It is easy to feel some sympathy for Rockford, but the tragedy is negative equity is a widespread plague. The Sun Sentinel also reports that South Florida is equally slammed. "Although prices are bouncing back, these underwater mortgages continue to haunt the local housing market and will for at least the next few years," the article states.
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When the U.S. agreed to inject vast sums of aid in exchange in September 2008, for a new class of stock—"senior preferred" shares—that paid a 10% dividend, the GSEs entered a period of ownership limbo. In such an instance, no meaningful reform can be accomplished according to then Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson.  --  Jacob Gaffney in HousingWire
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Homebuilder stocks rallied Friday as jobs data sparked concern that the Federal Reserve's timeline for tapering its bond-buying program might not be as crystal clear as initially expected. -- Christina Mylenski in HousingWire
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According to Friday’s report from the Bureau of Labor and Employment Statistics, only 74.8% of young adults are working — the lowest number in 12 months and far below normal levels. During the recession, between 73% and 74% of young adults were employed.
Consequently, the unemployment rate for young adults rose to 7.8% in August, representing the highest level since February.
For those young adults who are able to qualify for homeownership, they are often forced to handle a smaller mortgage.
"The focus of the industry now is hopefully on sustainable homeownership," said (Mark) Palim, who added that people want a mortgage they can actually afford — something many homeowners struggled with during the recession. "Someone who doesn’t have a job and has a lot of student debt shouldn’t be buying a home," he added. -- Megan Hopkins in HousingWire
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I have been hearing from talk radio that because of the busy schedule for the fall session of Congress, housing finance reform may not get much attention.  -- JP
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Towards the end of the year, lawmakers will also need to decide again on whether to extend a tax break for debt forgiven under short sales and other mortgage modifications. The Mortgage Forgiveness Debt Relief Act is set to expire on Dec. 31, though several bills have been introduced in the Senate to extend the provision for one or two years. The law, passed in 2007, was most recently extended as part of the last-minute deal to avert the so-called fiscal cliff at the beginning of the year.
Should Congress grant it, another extension "should be a positive for housing, as we believe there would be more foreclosures absent short sales and mortgage modifications," said Jaret Seiberg of Guggeheim Securities in a note to clients late last month. He added, however, that passage of another extension for the tax break is "far from a slam dunk."
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The U.S. federal government ran a budget deficit of approximately $750 billion in the first eleven months of the 2013 fiscal year—a reduction of more than $400 billion from a year earlier thanks in part to higher tax revenue, lower defense spending, fewer outlays for the Troubled Asset Relief Program and $82 billion in payments from the government-sponsored enterprises.

And back in 2012, the Treasury had made $5 billion in payments to the GSEs by August of fiscal 2012; however, this year, the Treasury is on the receiving end — having already taken in $82 billion in payments, mostly from Fannie Mae. Spending on unemployment benefits also declined by $22 billion, or 24%, as fewer Americans took in benefits, while expenditures tied to the Troubled Asset Relief Program – created to provide liquidity to the banks during the housing crisis – fell by $33 billion as the cost structure of the program was adjusted. -- Kerri Ann Panchuck in HousingWire
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Houston does not have a housing problem

Houston does not have a housing problem. In fact, the Houston area ranked No. 68 on a list of improving housing markets, with prices rising 13.9% since January 2011.

Boston plans for 30,000 new homes by 2020

The mayor of Boston released a plan to build 30,000 new homes in the city by 2020, using $16.5 billion in public and private investment dollars.

These were headlines in HousingWire on Sept. 9
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CoreLogic released data that shows approximately 2.5 million more residential properties returned to a state of positive equity during the second quarter, bringing the total number of homeowners across the country not underwater to 41.5 million.
CoreLogic data includes 49 million properties with a mortgage, which accounts for more than 85% of all U.S. mortgages.  --  Evan Nemeroff in Origination News.
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And finally, FHFA is going to take measures to lower the existing elevated conforming loan limits offered by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. They want to bring the maximum conforming loan amount back to the 2008 level of $417,000. The good news here again is it’s a motivation factor for your clients that might be sitting on the fence. Will it have a huge impact on the industry as a whole? We don’t think so. Jumbo non-agency money seems to be doing well right now and should be able to pick up the slack. In fact Jumbo rates are currently about the same or even better then conforming rates. We believe Jumbo rates will start to rise a bit soon based on this news.  Frank and Brian in National Real Estate Post.
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Headline in HousingWire

Mortgage application filings tumble 13.5%

Mortgage application filings dropped 13.5% from a week earlier during the survey period ending Sept. 6, the Mortgage Bankers Association reported Wednesday.
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People buying homes are citing future price increases as one of the "key factors" motivating them to buy. The most recent survey by the real-estate company Redfin found that almost one third of buyers are motivated by rising prices. CNBC in HousingWire
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You've got to see this "Battle of the Saxes"  http://matadornetwork.com/life/nyc-subway-sax-battle/
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Sunday, September 8, 2013

Beware the flood insurance....and a joke.

Fishing Jokes (Because, why not?)

I went fishing this morning but after a short time I ran out of worms.  Then I saw a cottonmouth snake with a frog in its mouth.  In case you didn't know, frogs are good bass bait.

Knowing the frog couldn't bite me with the frog in its mouth; I grabbed it right behind it's head, gingerly stole the frog and put it in my bait bucket.  Now the dilemma was how to release the snake without getting bit.

So, I grabbed my bottle of Jack Daniels (which I always have on me) and poured a little into it's mouth... Okay a lot of whiskey. It's eyes rolled back, it let out a little snake burp and it went limp.

I released the snake into the lake without incident and carried on fishing, using the frog.  Not long after I felt a nudge on my foot.

It was that darn snake... with two more frogs.

Shared by Josh Foster at BNP Media
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Because this issue is so important, I am posting the whole thing here.  I am also tweeting it.  Please, tell your buyers about this government intervention.

National Real Estate Post - Biggert Waters Flood Act Disaster


Posted: 03 Sep 2013 11:04 PM PDT
FEMA in conjunction with the Biggert Waters Flood Act is causing a whole new disaster with the victims of hurricane Sandy by forcing many people into unaffordable home improvements or massive flood insurance premiums.


Years ago President Ronald Reagan once aptly said the 8 scariest words in the English language; “We’re from the Government, we’re here to help.” We laugh because all good comedy is laced with hard truths that are simply easier to laugh at than cry. This was the case yesterday when I woke up to write the script for The National Real Estate Post, daily video.
Usually we will look at stories that we’ve been considering that have adequately fermented prior to putting the idea to Show. Today was different. As I scrolled through my daily feeds I saw an article at nbcnews.com that had me jump out of my seat and reflect on Reagan’s words in the same fashion a 4th grader reflects on giving his lunch money away over threat of a serious ass kicking. So here we are, onto today’s show.
The articles headline was “$20,000 for flood insurance? Sandy survivors facing tough rebuilding choices.” OK, so who’s not gonna bite on that title! After all, $20,000 a year is nearly $2,000 per month; or about 300 times what any reasonable policy should cost. Yet here we are. So as the Talking Heads once said “How did we get here?!”
Here’s how. Folks within FEMA and the Federal Government have been looking at the growing costs of fulfilling flood policies with episodes like Katrina, Sandy, and Rita (remember Rita was like Katrina’s bitchy little sister that ravaged the same area just a few months after Katrina.) In short, it’s widely believed that our costs on flood policies are outpacing the money being brought in from payment on said flood policies. When you add that with the, also, wide belief that erratic storm seasons are going to become less erratic and more the norm, it left Washington and FEMA scrambling on how to make up the projected shortfalls on FEMA’s reserves.
Enter the Biggert Waters Flood Insurance Reform Act of 2012. Oh, this was just put into action “Now;” at the speed of Government. Anyways what this act does is outline a way for the Government to Replenish their flood insurance funds by rezoning flood regions throughout the United States. As you can imagine, and rightfully so, areas around water, and along coasts, stood to suffer the most with higher policies. And the truth is, that should probably be the case. Think about it, if you stand a higher chance of flooding than you should pay more money. Duh!!!!
However, the amount of money that these guys are paying is beyond anything that anyone would consider reasonable. For example, and as outlined by the show that you just watched, some of these policies are upwards of $20,000 per year. So how does that happen? Like this.
Because of the rezoning, areas that are deemed higher risk are subject to new and improved building regulations. If it’s deemed that you might flood than your house is going to need to be elevated. And, your elevation is going outlined by the new and improved flood map. Here’s the problem.
Listen Close. Some of these people that were devastated by Sandy were paying on policies, earnestly paying on policies, based on the previous standards. So when their policies hit triple cherries after the Storm, they got paid. The problem is, the payment was sufficient to allow them to rebuild their old homes. The bigger problem is, new flood map zoning say’s they need to rebuild a better home to meet the new and improved standards.
Of course the new and improved standards cost more money. New and improved always costs more money. The issue these Sandy Survivors have is they don’t necessarily have the money to make the improvements to get reasonable policies. Some of these FEMA improvements could cost Sandy Survivors upwards of $100,000. As we know, most Americans don’t have that type of Jack laying around. So what do you do?
The only other option with the new FEMA flood map is to pay the higher policy for a home that is not built up to new specifications. Let’s face it, if you don’t have the money for the improvements, this is the next logical option. Enter problem number two.
FEMA’s got this thing so screwed up that the amount of money needed for improvements is unreasonable. So if you default to the next logical option, the payments on a substandard policy might even be more outrageous. Think about it, a $20,000 annual policy? The payment on the insurance would be higher than what most payments on the actual house would be! And this is the new and improved option the Government has come up with as a viable solution.
So you might be asking yourself, you should pay more money for higher risk homes. Agreed. But now ask yourself, what’s the good of making payment so high and improvement so prohibitively demanding that neither are realistic. What the hell is the good? Can we do better? In a time when Washington all but banters around giving homes away to garner support, what the fuck is the problem with giving survivors of the Sandy catastrophe an honest chance of fighting back and keeping their homes.
These terms are unreasonable and it’s truly unbelievable that NOBODY with any authority has not come out and said, as my 14 year old kid my text “WTF,” because if ever strong and offensive language was needed in our industry, this might be the case.
So help from the government, I might just side with President Reagan and conclude that Federal Help might be worse than the Hurt they


"The greater danger for most of us lies not in setting our aim too high and falling short: but in setting our aim too low, and achieving our mark." Michelangelo
This quote adorns the wall at Mojave, the home of Virgin Galactic. Rest assured we are setting our aim very high indeed!
By . Founder of Virgin Group
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New estimates derived from the Census Bureau's Current Population Survey by Sentier Research indicate that the real (inflation-adjusted) median annual household income in America has fallen by 4.4 percent during the "recovery," after having fallen by 1.8 during the recession. -- Shared by Jeffery H. Anderson
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Second-quarter data from the National Credit Union Administration shows federally insured credit unions experienced brisk loan growth, reporting their highest net worth since 2008 and record membership levels in the second quarter.
The delinquency ratio and net charge-offs are significantly lower than they were a year ago, which is good news for the credit union industry. “The delinquency ratio for credit unions is still very, very low,” said Gentile, who noted that people are finally able to pay their bills. “That’s a very good sign for the economy overall.” -- Megan Hopkins in HousingWire
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“Homeowners who already have ample equity are quickly building on that equity, while the 8.3 million homeowners on the fence with little or no equity are on track to regain enough equity to sell before 2015 if home prices continue to increase at the rate of 1.33% per month that they have since bottoming out in March 2012,” said Blomquist. -- Megan Hopkins at HousingWire
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Mortgage applications finally inched higher after a couple weeks of declines, increasing 1.3% in the latest Mortgage Bankers Association survey.
The average contract interest rate for a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage with a conforming loan limit fell to 4.73% from 4.80%.
Meanwhile, the 30-year, FRM jumbo dipped to 4.71% from 4.78% last week.
(Do you see that jumbo loans now have lower interest rates than regular MI?)
The average 30-year, FRM backed by the FHA also decreased to 4.48% from 4.52% a week ago.
Additionally, the 15-year, FRM slipped to 3.75% from 3.84%, and the 5/1 ARM fell to 3.49% from 3.50% last week. -- Brena Swanson at HousingWire
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The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s top supervision and enforcement officer, Steven Antonakes, will also serve as the CFPB’s second-in-command.
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“Home prices continue to climb across the nation in July with markets hit hardest during the downturn leading the way,” said Anand Nallathambi, president and chief executive of CoreLogic.
Other states with the highest price increases since July 2012 are: Arizona (up 17%), Wyoming (16%), and Oregon (15%). -- Brian Collins at Orignation News
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Construction spending in the U.S. grew in July to its highest level in four years, due to gains in residential real estate, Bloomberg News reports.
Outlays climbed 0.6% to a $900.8 billion annual rate, the most since June 2009, after being little changed in June, the Commerce Department reported today in Washington.
“We’re going to continue to post growth,” Mike Englund, chief economist at Action Economics LLC in Boulder, Colorado, said before the report. “It’s growing a little faster than the broader economy, obviously getting help from residential construction.”
Source: Bloomberg
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The government is throwing a lifeline to borrowers who lost their homes due to the recession, in an attempt to widen the pool of potential borrowers.
Per The Wall Street Journal:
A recent rule change lets certain borrowers who have gone through a foreclosure, bankruptcy or other adverse event—but who have repaired their credit—become eligible to receive a new mortgage backed by the Federal Housing Administration after waiting as little as one year. Previously, they had to wait at least three years before they could qualify for a new government-backed loan.
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The city council in North Las Vegas rejected a plan proposed by Mortgage Resolution Partners to utilize the power of eminent domain to refinance underwater mortgages. The plan was struck down in a five-to-zero vote. -- HousingWire
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While other states start to recover, homeowners in Ohio and other Midwestern states are struggling to regain equity in their houses, with more than 30% of mortgaged homeowners in Ohio, Michigan and Illinois owing considerably more than their homes are worth. Per The Columbus Dispatch:
In Ohio, 31% of homeowners with loans owe at least 125% more than their estimated home value, RealtyTrac said. In central Ohio, the figure is 27 percent.
In all, RealtyTrac estimates that 10.7 million homeowners, or 23% of those with mortgages, are “deeply underwater,” down from 11.3 million in May and 12.5 million last September. -- HousingWire
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 With Syria in the mix, housing is no longer going to capture lawmakers’ attention in the months of September and October. And what an upset that is, considering the first Treasury white paper on GSE reform came out in 2011, three years ago in February.
Analysts with Compass Point Research & Trading believe the Syria debate will cause lawmakers to punt on the federal budget and the debt ceiling debate.
"We do not believe that the federal government will shutdown, or that the debt ceiling will be breached, but note that the Congressional consideration of military action in Syria increases the likelihood that lawmakers push the impending budget battles to the end of 2013," Compass Point analysts noted. -- Kerri Anne Panchuck in HousingWire
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Shared by Virgil Cowen