sharexy

Sunday, April 27, 2014

Moms and Pops Buy REO-to-Rentals

Home builders are selling a large part of their inventory in the SouthEast and SouthCentral USA.
http://www.housingwire.com/articles/29790-where-are-homebuilders-breaking-ground
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The truth is that there isn’t one “housing market” as all real estate is a local. Therefore, while large institutional investors might not want to play in this space in massive ways going forward, smaller investor groups and individual investors in many markets will continue to view the single-family rental market as a positive investment.
One panelist even stated that with so much uncertainty out there regarding retirement accounts, the practice of buying homes to rent out might be a sound retirement strategy.
That advice is geared specifically to mom-and-pops and not the investment community — proof the buyer base is shifting in the asset class. -- Lynn Effinger in HousingWire http://www.housingwire.com/blogs/1-rewired/post/29797-here-come-the-mom-and-pop-reo-to-rental-investors
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Shared by Darja Vizjak, Ptuj Castle, Slovenia

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Economic Indicators shared:

NEW RESIDENTIAL SALES IN MARCH 2014
Sales of new single-family houses in March 2014 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 384,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 14.5 percent (±12.9%) below the revised February rate of 449,000 and is 13.3 percent (±9.9%) below the March 2013 estimate of 443,000.
The median sales price of new houses sold in March 2014 was $290,000; the average sales price was $334,200. The seasonally adjusted estimate of new houses for sale at the end of March was 193,000. This represents a supply of 6.0 months at the current sales rate.

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Under the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau's regulation, all such fees are included in a points and fees test that says they cannot exceed 3% of the loan amount and still qualify for QM status.
But observers said the CFPB appears likely to ease its interpretation of affiliated fees, allowing transactions that are passed through an affiliate to a third-party provider to be excluded from the test.
Brian Collins in National Mortgage News http://www.nationalmortgagenews.com/news/origination/cfpb-likely-to-ease-rules-on-fees-for-qm-loans
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Shared by Margret Thompkin, White House Ruins in Canyon de Chelly -- Arizona

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The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau has found that many consumers are frustrated by the short amount of time they have to review a large stack of complex closing documents when finalizing a mortgage.
In conjunction with the findings of their consumer survey, the CFPB also released guidelines for an upcoming eClosing pilot project to assess how electronic closings can benefit consumers as they navigate the mortgage closing process.
1) Not enough time to review
2) Overwhelming stack of paperwork
3) Complexity of documents and errors
Trey Garrison in HousingWire http://www.housingwire.com/articles/29767-cfpb-3-biggest-pains-in-mortgage-closings
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Sales of Newly-Built Homes Drop Nearly 15 Percent Last Month
"We keep hearing from our members that tight credit conditions are preventing many first-time buyers and younger families from being able to buy a home," said Kevin Kelly, chairman of the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) and a home builder and developer from Wilmington, Del. "Congress must outline a clear policy on housing finance so that qualified buyers can get home loans. Otherwise, this continued uncertainty could threaten the housing recovery and overall economy."
http://nationalmortgageprofessional.com/news48596/sales-newly-built-homes-drop-nearly-15-percent-last-month
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Shared by Dieter Birr, Monastery Beuron

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The young business of large-scale single-family rental companies is profiting from the housing bust in more ways than one.
Not only are these national landlords sourcing their properties from trustee and sheriff sales, short sales and even nonperforming single-family loans. Often they are also renting to former owners who lost their homes during the housing bust and the ensuing Great Recession.  -- Brian Collins in National Mortgage News http://www.nationalmortgagenews.com/news/servicing/single-family-rental-firms-reap-benefit-from-ownership-shy-public
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The latest Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey found that the average 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage averaged 4.33% for the week ending April 24, increasing from 4.27% a week ago, but up from 3.40% a year earlier. -- Brena Swanson in HousingWire http://www.housingwire.com/articles/29783-freddie-mac-mortgage-rates-reverse-course-rise
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Shared by Norbert Metz, Castle `Katz` nearby the river Rhine

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I’ve been saying for months that I thought home sales in 2014 would be flat compared to 2013. It appears that I may have been too optimistic. I just don’t see the kind of demand that some of the forecasters have been calling for. Here are some of the basic issues:
1. There’s very little inventory at the low end of the market.
2. First time homebuyers are staying out of the market.
3. Mortgages are still very difficult to get.
4. Finally, affordability is an issue.
Rick Sharga in HousingWire http://www.housingwire.com/blogs/1-rewired/post/29782-rick-sharga-is-this-the-end-of-the-housing-recovery
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"When you hear Ginnie Mae CEO Ted Tozer speaking at public events, he says more and more he's seeing nonbank counterparties for FHA," Whalen said, speaking at the SourceMedia Mortgage Servicing conference in Dallas. "I hope that nonbanks will step up to the plate and take over originations. Commercial banks no longer want anything to do with closing that note." -- Jacob Gaffney in HousingWire http://www.housingwire.com/articles/29779-whalen-nonbanks-are-taking-over-mortgage-originations
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Shared by Marianne Sansum

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Major metros with decreasing sales volume from a year ago included:
  1. San Jose (down 18%)
  2. San Francisco (down 15%)
  3. Los Angeles (down 14%)
  4. Rochester, N.Y., (down 14%)
  5. Sacramento (down 13%)
  6. San Diego (down 12%)
  7. Orlando (down 12%)
  8. Las Vegas (down 12%)
  9. Providence, R.I. (down 12%)
  10. Phoenix (down 11%)
  11. Riverside-San Bernardino, Calif. (down 11%)
  12. Hartford, Conn., (down 10%)
  13. Boston (down 8%)
The markets with the biggest bounce back in home prices from the bottom of the market, and showing signs of slowing home price appreciation during the month are:
1) San Francisco
Median home prices are up 94% from the bottom in March 2009; March 2014 home prices increased 26% from a year ago, down from a peak annual home price appreciation of 39% in June 2013.
2) Detroit
Median home prices are up 92% from the bottom in May 2009; March 2014 home prices increased 29% from a year ago, down from a peak annual home price appreciation of 38% in October 2013.
3) Cape Coral-Fort Myers, Fla.
Median home prices are up 86% from the bottom in November 2010; March 2014 home prices increased 14% from a year ago, down from a peak annual home price appreciation of 30% in January 2013.
4) Phoenix
Median home prices are up 59% from the bottom in March 2011; March 2014 home prices increased 13% from a year ago, down from a peak annual home price appreciation of 30% in April 2013.
5) Atlanta
Median home prices are up 41% from the bottom in February 2012; March 2014 home prices increased 20% from a year ago, down from a peak annual home price appreciation of 27% in December 2013.
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Shared by Bernd Mieger, old farm
image not displayed

Saturday, April 19, 2014

Ukraine Conflict Good for Interest Rates


Shared by Michael Rutta, Kobogen-Dusseldorf on Photo Tour Global Directory
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Interest rates are inversly tied to bond prices.  As the conflict in Ukraine waxes and wanes, so do the mortgage interest rates.  Bonds are seen to be more secure than stocks, so when war is a possibility, bond prices rise and interest rates decline.
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Real Estate is one career that does not require a  4 year college education.  http://www.artofmanliness.com/2014/04/17/is-college-for-everyone-10-alternatives-to-the-traditional-4-year-college/
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Shared by Steven Krohn, Prague Czech Republic

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Nat'l Real Estate Post:
Higher FHA mortgage interest is being used to fund tax cuts.  This is happening at the expense of low and middle income buyers.
http://thenationalrealestatepost.com/the-dirty-truth-behind-fha-mi-hikes
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10 Best Cities for Raising the Family
1.  Grand Rapids, MI
2.  Boise, ID
3.  Provo, UT
4.  Youngstown, OH
5.  Raleigh, NC
6.  Poughkeepsie, NY
7.  Omaha, NE
8.  Ogden, UT
9.  Cincinnati, OH
10.  Worcester, MA
http://www.forbes.com/pictures/eddf45gihi/best-cities-for-raising-a-family/
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Shared by Xalima Miriel, Stone Upon Stone

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Slow growth dominated the first quarter, but Fannie Mae’s Economic & Strategic Research Group believes the economy is expected to gain momentum in the second quarter amid an increase in government spending and diminishing drag from a slowdown in inventory stockpiling. Trey Garrison in HousingWire http://www.housingwire.com/articles/29735-full-speed-ahead-as-fannie-mae-stands-by-optimistic-forecast
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As of late, there's been huge buzz about the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau and the Federal Housing Finance Agency putting together a massive National Mortgage Database.
This is the new business paradigm.
It is also available to and is being used by the CFPB.  David Moffat and Rebecca Walzak in HousingWire http://www.housingwire.com/blogs/1-rewired/post/29743-heres-why-the-cfpb-and-fhfa-need-your-personal-info
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Shared by Neil Howard,
Burhou from Tourgis
The island of Burhou seen from From Tourgis on Alderney. Burhou has an important puffin colony with LIVE webcams to watch http://burhou.livingislands.co.uk/
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Gallup said rising house prices are just one reason why Americans are putting their bucks back into houses. In 2002, during the real estate boom that came ahead of the mortgage crisis and before gold was offered as an option, half of Americans polled gave real estate the best-investment nod. Sales trends for new homes are at historically low levels, while prices have run up more than 13% over the past year. Trey Garrison in HousingWire http://www.housingwire.com/articles/29741-gallup-most-investors-see-real-estate-as-best-long-term-bet
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Nat'l Real Estate Post:
....on the agenda is this whole matter of the government not being able to agree on what Fannie and Freddie has made, or cost, the American people. On the one side their saying it’s come at a cost of $19 billion. On the other side it’s come at a profit of $181 billion. Only our American Government can come up with this stuff while keeping a straight face. It’s math man. 
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Shared by Gurna Varna, Sun. Paul's Lutheran Church in Riga, Latvian.
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Wage inflation could soon surge in the United States because short-term unemployment is almost back at normal levels, and that could present the Federal Reserve with a fresh dilemma, according to the Financial Times.

That’s because if wage hikes do gain momentum, it could undercut the Fed’s key hope of keeping interest rates low at least until 2015. John Morgan in Money News
http://www.moneynews.com/Personal-Finance/Financial-Times-Wage-Inflation-Economy/
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A New Regulator: Washington loves a bureaucracy, and the proposed Federal Mortgage Insurance Corp. would provide one. Wait, wouldn't it replace the current regulator, the Federal Housing Finance Agency? No, the FHFA would continue as an autonomous unit inside the FMIC. My verdict? Bureaucracy bloat.
Industry analyst David Lykken, managing partner of Mortgage Banking Solutions in Austin, Texas, agrees with me. "It's another layer of bureaucracy. People will have to build [the cost of new bureaucracy] into their [home] price." Mark Fogarty in National Mortgage News
http://www.nationalmortgagenews.com/blogs/hearing/johnson-crapo-imperfect-resolution-to-an-interminable-situation
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Shared by M. Freidrich, Belgien
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Rising home prices have outpaced wage growth, putting ownership out of reach for some Americans. Mortgage rates, while still near historic lows, have been rising and harsh winter weather in January and February probably prevented would-be new owners from venturing out to look for real estate.
The median price of an existing home climbed 7.9% from March 2013 to $198,500, today's report showed.
The average rate on a 30-year, fixed mortgage fell to a six-week low of 4.34% in the week ended April 17. A year ago, the rate averaged 3.41%, according to Freddie Mac.
Bloomberg News http://www.nationalmortgagenews.com/news/origination/sales-of-existing-homes-fall-for-third-straight-month
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APR 21, 2014
Risky Business

GSE Reform Bill Falls Short of Assuring Small Lenders Survive

http://www.nationalmortgagenews.com/blogs/risky/gse-reform-bill-falls-short-of-assuring-small-lenders-survive
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Shared by Dieter Birr, Karlsruhe
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Despite the anemic housing market start so far in 2014, housing metrics should improve later this year, according to Fitch Ratings’ Chalk Line report. Trey Garrison in HousingWire
http://www.housingwire.com/articles/29749-fitch-7-factors-that-will-shape-the-housing-market-in-2014
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Shared by Werner Polwein, Neuer Zollhof, Düsseldorf, von Frank Owen Gehry
 
 

Tuesday, April 15, 2014

Jeffrey Dahmer’s Childhood Home is for Sale and It’s a Heck of a Deal.

Ellie Mae (ELLI) drove the industry to the brink Monday and Tuesday after its loan origination system Encompass 360 shut down for users, halting all closing processes. -- Brena Swanson in HousingWire
http://www.housingwire.com/blogs/1-rewired/post/29541
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Nat'l Real Estate Post:
So if you’re a lender or a real estate agent or a customer and you’re being told there’s some problem closing or processing or accessing your transaction – it’s true. It’s not the fault of your lending or real estate professional. Encompass services a huge amount of mortgage business out there. But rest assured, Ellie (Mae) is a quality high level company and we know they’re all over it. http://thenationalrealestatepost.com/encompass-ellie-mae-hack-cause-delays/
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Shared by Neil Shepard.  Shepard's Cottage in Wherwell, Hampshire. 

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Top 10 Markets for First Time Home Buyers
By Trey Garrison in HousingWire
MSA
Median Listing Price
YOY % Change
MOM % Change
Total Listings
YOY % Change
MOM % Change
Median Age of Inventory
YOY % Change
MOM % Change
Un-employm
ent rate
Pittsburgh, PA
$135,000
0.00%
1.58%
11,026
-3.21%
-0.38%
128
1.59%
2.40%
5.70%
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
$169,900
13.34%
0.53%
21,062
33.96%
2.90%
88
-1.12%
-5.38%
5.90%
Philadelphia, PA-NJ(NJ)
$174,900
0.00%
1.39%
10,656
2.19%
2.98%
141
-1.40%
-3.42%
6.40%
Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
$175,000
3.61%
0.06%
8,433
7.44%
15.54%
67
0.00%
-19.28%
5.40%
Orlando, FL
$191,900
12.95%
1.00%
13,425
49.17%
4.33%
81
12.50%
-5.81%
5.50%
Jacksonville, FL
$198,000
1.59%
1.59%
9,787
25.47%
2.99%
95
5.56%
-5.94%
5.60%
Philadelphia, PA-NJ(PA)
$219,000
1.86%
2.82%
21,909
-4.72%
1.78%
121
5.22%
-0.82%
6.40%
Dallas, TX
$224,900
12.45%
2.23%
15,887
10.28%
18.72%
57
1.79%
-25.97%
5.40%
Raleigh-Durham-Chapel Hill, NC
$227,500
5.81%
1.11%
9,435
-0.99%
6.68%
98
4.26%
-7.55%
4.90%
Phoenix-Mesa, AZ
$244,900
13.96%
2.04%
23,654
45.34%
9.02%
-http://www.housingwire.com/articles/29524-the-top-10-markets-for-first-time-homebuyers
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Nat'l Real Estate Post:
The CFPB is so out of control not even Congress can get their attention. They didn’t even show up to their discrimination hearing.
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A recent survey by the PulteGroup revealed that the Millennial generation has a more optimistic outlook regarding the American economy than other generations. According to the survey, 54% of Millennials believe the economy is in better shape today than it was last year compared to only 41% of the total population. -- The KCM Crew http://www.keepingcurrentmatters.com/2014/03/31/millennials-optimistic-ready-to-buy/
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Millennium Tower World Business Center, Busan Korea. 

Shared by Places to See Before You Die
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Nat'l Real Estate Post:
Jeffrey Dahmer’s childhood home is for sale and it’s a heck of a deal in Akron, Ohio for $295K.  Some marketing ideas are, "Home to die for", "At least it's not Sharon Tate's place", "This house is a killer killer's deal", "Great dining area great for hosting parties", "Won't cost you an arm and a leg", "Lots of storage space in the basement", "Walk in freezer", "If you like the holidays, Halloween takes on a whole new meaning in your new house".
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Michael Bennett Photography's Chicago Skyline, Shared by Uros Kralj

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 Ellie Mae has hired Stroz Friedberg, a cyber-security and digital forensics investigation firm, to piece together evidence and trace the attack, evaluate Ellie Mae's response to the incident, as well as validate that the vendor did not suffer a data or security breach. -- Austin Kilgore in Origination News http://www.nationalmortgagenews.com/news/technology/ellie-mae-suspects-attackers-had-industry-knowledge
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Nat'l Real Estate Post:
Housing bubble in the making or not?  Zillow says yes.  What do you say?
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Dubai.  Taken by Guy Kawasaki

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Paul Ryan's Budget
The budget ultimately recommends putting an end to corporate subsidies and taxpayer bailouts in housing finance and envisions to eventual elimination of Fannie and Freddie.
However, in order to get to that end result, the budget advises following the Protecting American Taxpayers and Homeowners Act, which phases out the government-sponsored enterprises in five years. -- Brena Swanson in HousingWire http://www.housingwire.com/articles/29566
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Black Knight Financial Services mortgage data for February data showed that monthly mortgage originations dropped to the lowest number in at least 14 years. -- Trey Garrison in HousingWire
http://www.housingwire.com/articles/29569-black-knight-originations-fall-to-lowest-level-in-14-years
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The Bridge at Liege, Shared by M. Friedrich

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According the latest Fannie Mae National Housing Survey, the share of respondents who say it is a good time to sell a home escalated to 38% in March, up from 26% for the same period a year ago. -- Brena Swanson in HousingWire
http://www.housingwire.com/articles/29574-american-optimism-trends-higher-as-home-buying-season-starts
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Nat'l Real Estate Post:
Well as we stated in the post title there is pressure to lower the GSE fees. On the one hand you might say to just leave things alone considering that all seems to be going well right? On the other hand there are some very interesting stats that we go over in the show that will blow you away. One concern of the GSE’s is if they lower fees that they won’t be as profitable, but we illustrate that if they do lower their fees they could actually be even more profitable. Now if we could just get the Treasure to allow them to keep some of their profits we’d be heading in the right direction, but one thing at a time right? http://thenationalrealestatepost.com/pressure-mounts-for-lower-gse-fees/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+TheNationalRealEstatePost+%28The+National+Real+Estate+Post%29
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Shared by Jacob Surland
Old Town Museum in Aarhus is a museum made of old houses, moved brick by brick from the original location to the Museum. Most of the houses you can go into, to see how people lived in the that specific period of time. Photo by: Jacob Surland, www.caughtinpixels.com

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 Listen, the mortgage industry is off by 55% from this time last year with respect to volume. So what do lenders do when the going gets tough? A few things. 1 – They cut costs, 2 – They increase business or, 3 – They fail. Well what’s surprising is that a third of the lenders out there say that they will now entertain doing Non-QM loans whereas they wouldn’t even consider it this time last year.
http://thenationalrealestatepost.com/new-non-qm-loans-available-soon/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+TheNationalRealEstatePost+%28The+National+Real+Estate+Post%29
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Nat'l Real Estate Post:
Yet another banker has died and not only him but his whole family. Look we’re going to just say it. Something is going on here that’s not on the up and up. We think these people are getting bumped off. This has to be some sort of revenge. Is it one person or a group that’s planned some great banker revenge scheme? Or is it truly just some sort of coincidence that all these people are in the financial and or mortgage industry? We just can’t buy that a guy would shoot himself multiple times with a nail gun multiple times or would jump off a moving train to end it all. Just seems very very strange.
http://thenationalrealestatepost.com/yet-another-banker-mysteriously-dies/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+TheNationalRealEstatePost+%28The+National+Real+Estate+Post%29

Wednesday, April 2, 2014

Raspberry Crazy Ants

US GDP increased by 1.9% in 2013.
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Independent mortgage banks and mortgage subsidiaries of chartered banks made an average profit of $150 on each loan they originated in the fourth quarter of 2013, down from $743 per loan in the third quarter, the MBA reports in its latest Mortgage Bankers Performance Report. -- Jacob Gaffney in HousingWire  http://www.housingwire.com/blogs/1-rewired/post/29448-the-cost-of-closing-mortgages-is-officially-astronomical
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Shared by Joanne Georgia, Epcot Center, Disney World Orlando FL

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Residential sales are up 7% in February 2014 over Feb 2013.
Distressed sales and short sales account for 17% of all sales in February.  Trey Garrison in HousingWire  http://www.housingwire.com/articles/29449-why-did-residential-sales-decline-for-fourth-month-straight
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Nat'l Real Estate Post:
Raspberry Crazy Ants are headed for Houston, TX and there are no poisons to stop them.  They eat electrical wiring.
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Shared by Silvia ZK, Temple of Isis on the Isle of Philae, Egypt

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The percentage of early stage delinquencies, 30 days+ overdue is 2.6%, down 8.7% from a year ago and the lowest level at year-end since reporting began in January 2008.
Seriously delinquent mortgages—60 days+ overdue decreased to 3.5% compared with 3.6% at the end of the previous quarter and 4.4% a year earlier. -- Jacob Gaffney in HousingWire http://www.housingwire.com/articles/29469-did-the-foreclosure-rate-really-get-cut-in-half
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Members of a Philadelphia mob family seized control of a Texas-based mortgage company and used its money to buy luxury cars and a yacht, according to the firm’s former CEO. -- Ben Lane in HousingWire http://www.housingwire.com/articles/29474-firstplus-ceo-the-mob-took-over-our-mortgage-company
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Shared by Xalima Miriel, Castle Trevejo, Spain

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RealtyTrac has released an analysis of housing market health in 410 U.S. counties in two-year increments over the past eight years, finding that 96 percent of county housing markets are better off than they were four years ago when foreclosures peaked in 2010, but only eight percent of county housing markets are better off than they were eight years ago in 2006 before the housing price bubble burst. -- NationalMortgageProfessional.com
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...While all of this could mean less competition for first time homebuyers, don’t expect to see a huge wave of buying activity from owner/occupants as investors scale back.
What’s keeping first time buyers on the sideline isn’t competition from investors, it’s other factors: lack of jobs for the 25-35 year old cohort that typically makes up most of the buyers; a mountain of student loan debt that makes it difficult for these folks to afford a loan – or qualify for a QM/ATR loan; tight credit overall, which makes it hard to get loans in general; and the lack of inventory.
On that last note, new home inventory is near a 40-year low (and much of the available inventory is made up of larger, more expensive “move-up” homes); distressed inventory is lower than expected; and a high percentage of existing home owners are either underwater or don’t have enough equity to sell their current homes. -- Rick Sharga in HousingWire http://www.housingwire.com/blogs/1-rewired/post/29512-heres-what-investor-trends-mean-for-the-housing-market
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Shared by M. Friedrich, Bahnhof( Lüttich Belgien )

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Nat'l Real Estate Post:
Well now, we’ve got FHA coming out and telling lenders not to worry and go ahead and start doing lower credit scores that fit FHA guidelines. Naturally all lenders see is buybacks in their future if they do this, even if their loans are technically within guidelines, so until recently they’ve held firm on their stricter FICO guideline overlays. But, here we are. Loan volume is down so lenders are starting to adjust to compensate. Well with FHA saying they want more of the lower FICO borrowers out there, we’ll see what happens. http://thenationalrealestatepost.com/fha-wants-lower-fico-borrowers/
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Also coming up in Congress, the House Financial Services Committee will hold a special hearing on April 2 at 10 a.m. ET to look into allegations of discrimination and employee mistreatment at the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. -- Trey Garrison in HousingWire http://www.housingwire.com/articles/29479-johnson-crapo-mark-up-cfpb-investigation-coming-in-april
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Shared by Xalima Miriel, Museum Guggenheim, Bilbao

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The BofA analysts said, that by "affirming the QE taper and seemingly doubling down on tightening by adding the “six months” comment, the Fed seems to be saying that it is OK with the 15% decline in pending home sales and may well even be comfortable with further declines." -- Jacob Gaffney in HousingWire http://www.housingwire.com/articles/29493-bofa-fed-seems-ok-with-declining-home-sales
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Nat'l Real Estate Post:
 The heat is on when it comes to appraisers, AMC’s and appraiser competency. The Fed’s are going to start looking into what kind of financial ties AMC’s have to lenders and how competent their appraisers are.
Title companies are looking to dump their reps and go direct to the consumer in an effort to save money. And the good ol’ FHA is making some changes with respect to interest due on a loan being paid off by direction from, or should we say, in agreement with the CFPB. You’d think that would be a good thing, but naturally there’s a caveat to everything including this.
http://thenationalrealestatepost.com/changes-for-appraisals-title-and-fha/
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Shared by Zuzanna Butkiewicz, Versailles France
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